
Euro Breakout Long 2010.06.09-11:55
The 1 hour break out behaved pretty much as expected. There was a pull back to suffer through the Euro session before taking a good run through the USD session open.
This evening shows that the 1 hour is making another pass towards previous high but caution needs to be taken as we approach two significant resistances from the Daily chart and a 4 Hour trend line establish at the beginning of May. 1.2038, 1.2062 and 1.2112. Note that these just happen to be the predicted take profits from yesterday.
The 4 hour predictability has become very muddled, but the fact that the daily Bollinger is closing up says that we should still see a continued press long. as the Daily continues to consolidate. If the May 4hour trend line remains in control through the next day a pendant will form. A Daily trend line established in April will then become the dominant Resistance which will likely time the next leg of the Euro's existence, either Long or Short.

For tonight, the 4 hour is the play or it may peter out. Look for pull backs at 1.2062, 1.2088 and 1.2138. An outside chance for 1.2212 may be possible but I am not counting for more than that though the fib extension shows outside run to 1.2288/and test of 1.2312.
PLEASE READ THE DISCLOSURE AT BOTTOM OF PAGE
HOW TO PLAY
- Select a stop loss such as 1.1932
- Plan an entry between 1.2062 and 1.2091
- Take entry less stop loss plus spread and calculate lots to trade e.g. 5% of account
- At 1st Target take 50% of lots off trade which returns approximately 75% of your investment back to realized gains.
- Move stop to break even or 1.2086
- At 2nd Target take 50% or remaining lots of trade this should be approximately equal to your first pull.
- Move Stoploss to 1.2036
Use your best gut feeling for the remainder of trade. With high time frames experience has showed me that the 4Hour will consolidate at 2nd target so you might as well pull the whole trade at that point. This particular move seems to be week and filled with resistance so why not take everything off the table at 1st target and walk away with a nice prize.
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